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Table 2 Testing for diversification rate variation models by ∆AICRC test statistic

From: Nuclear and chloroplast DNA phylogeography suggests an Early Miocene southward expansion of Lithocarpus (Fagaceae) on the Asian continent and islands

Model

Log-likelihood

AIC

Parameter

Both cpDNA and nrITS (Fig. 2a)

 PureBirth

− 2.3419

6.684

r1 = 0.101

 bd

− 1.682121

7.364

r1 = 0.076, a = 0.405

 DDX

− 1.972169

7.944

r1 = 0.065, x = − 0.136

 DDL

− 2.342

8.684

r1 = 0.101, k = 1,168,951

 yule2rate

− 1.083

8.166

r1 = 0.0687, r2 = 0.112, st1 = 14.894

 yule3rate

1.871

6.258

r1 = 0.087, r2 = 9.936, r3 = 0.115, st1 = 5.939, st2 = 5.936

 ∆AICRC

 

0.426

 

cpDNA (Fig. 3)

 PureBirth

25.97718

− 49.95435

r1 = 0.120

 bd

26.15159

− 48.30319

r1 = 0.105, a = 0.220

 DDX

26.19223

− 48.38446

r1 = 0.091, x = − 0.082

 DDL

25.97713

− 47.95426

r1 = 0.120, k = 1,428,290

 yule2rate

27.806

− 49.612

r1 = 0.063, r2 = 0.130, st1 = 15.636

 yule3rate

31.18926

− 52.37852

r1 = 0.063, r2 = 0.665, r3 = 0.124, st1 = 15.636, st2 = 15.017

 ∆AICRC

 

2.424

 

nrITS (Fig. 4)

 PureBirth

− 5.870249

13.7405

r1 = 0.086

 bd

− 4.303511

12.60702

r1 = 0.058, a = 0.532

 DDX

− 5.695618

15.39124

r1 = 0.061, x = − 0.105

 DDL

− 5.870443

15.74089

r1 = 0.086, k = 1,284,297

 yule2rate

− 2.426486

10.85297

r1 = 0.073, r2 = 0.148, st1 = 2.380

 yule3rate

1.189585

7.62083

r1 = 0.075, r2 = 0.471, r3 = 0.112, st1 = 1.713, st2 = 1.457

 ∆AICRC

 

4.986

 

cpDNA (Additional file 1: Figure S1A)

 PureBirth

103.309

− 204.617

r1 = 0.121

 bd

107.116

− 210.231

r1 = 0.076, a = 0.574

 DDX

106.169

− 208.338

r1 = 0.046, x = − 0.251

 DDL

103.308

− 202.616

r1 = 0.121, k = 2,195,621

 yule2rate

108.500

− 211.000

r1 = 0.084, r2 = 0.153, st1 = 7.286

 yule3rate

112.757

− 215.514

r1 = 0.095, r2 = 0.184, r3 = 0.024, st1 = 4.059, st2 = 0.328

 ∆AICRC

 

5.283

 

nrITS (Additional file 1: Figure S1B)

 PureBirth

27.403

− 52.806

r1 = 0.110

 bd

31.284

− 58.568

r1 = 0.060, a = 0.667

 DDX

29.731

− 55.463

r1 = 0.038, x = − 0.306

 DDL

21.496

− 38.991

r1 = 0.140, k = 174

 yule2rate

31.106

− 56.213

r1 = 0.103, r2 = 0.368, st1 = 0.227

 yule3rate

34.049

− 58.096

r1 = 0.093, r2 = 9.384, r3 = 0.172, st1 = 2.055, st2 = 2.053

 ∆AICRC

 

− 0.471

 
  1. r1, r2, r3, net diversification rates at stages 1, 2, and 3; st1 and st2, the first and the second rate-shift times; a, the extinction fraction extinction rate/speciation rate; x, the x parameter in the density-dependent exponetial model; k, the K parameter in the logistic density dependent model
  2. PureBirth pure birth (Yule) model, bd rate-constant birth–death model, DDX and DDL exponential and logistic variants of the density-dependent speciation rate models, respectively, yule2rate and yule3rate multi-rate variants of the pureBirth model, ∆AICRC the difference in AIC score between the best rate-constant (AICRC) and rate-variable (AICRV) models. The overall best-fit models were indicated with italic AIC value